Data Release: EMSI First Quarter 2011 Beta

We are pleased to announce the initial “beta” release of our EMSI first quarter 2011 dataset. This release primarily reflects important updates from some of our 80+ data sources, along with a few methodological improvements.

Updated Data Sources in This Release

• Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, Q2 2010 (BLS). These updates significantly influence our new 2010 job estimates.

• Current Employment Statistics, Full-Year 2011 (BLS). This dataset helps us form an estimate of final 2010 annual job averages, ahead of final, detailed figures from the QCEW.

• State Projections. We now use more recent (2008-18) projections from Alabama, Arizona,
  Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Jersey, Ohio, South Dakota, Texas, Vermont, and Virginia. As more states release 2008-18 projections, they are weighted more heavily than the national 2008-18 projection from the BLS. Due to the complex interactions between various projection sources, EMSI final projections across all areas and industries are affected.

• Annual Input-Output Update Tables, 2009 (BEA). EMSI’s input-output modeling system (Economic Impact module) now includes data from the 2009 annual update release of the national I-O account tables.

• American Community Survey, 2005-2009 (Census). We now use the 5-year ACS microdata from 2005-2009 to inform non-covered only staffing patterns and occupational employment.

Methodology Changes

Noncovered Staffing Patterns and Occupation Data: We have made further updates to our processes of generating non-covered staffing patterns and occupational employment estimates (primarily self-employed workers) from American Community Survey microdata. In addition, the new 5-year ACS microdata files are now used. There are some significant changes in the EMSI non- covered staffing pattern and non-covered occupational estimates.
Covered Occupational Wage Percentiles: Our occupational wage percentiles have been amended to agree more closely with OES 2009, particularly the lower percentiles of very high-wage occupations (greater than $80/hr).

Special Notices

• Reminder on widespread industry reclassification in the Energy sector: In Q1 2010 QCEW data from the BLS, thousands of private-sector jobs in several states have been reclassified from NAICS 22111 (Electric Power Generation) to NAICS 22112 (Electric Power Transmission, Control, and Distribution). This change does not reflect an economic shift, but rather a difference in how employers self-identify to the unemployment insurance system. EMSI does not currently correct for such changes.

• Reminder on temporary Census worker employment: Our 2010 employment estimate for Federal Government (civilian) includes the effects of temporary Census worker jobs, which peaked in May. This effect is removed from projections. The 2010 federal government staffing pattern (and occupational data affected by it) does not currently account for this effect, due to lack of data on the occupational categorization of temporary Census workers.

Questions? Contact Us

If you have any questions or feedback about the new data, please contact Customer Solutions at (866) 999-3674 or via the online chat feature within EMSI Analyst.