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The Intensifying Healthcare Labor Shortage

Addressing the Talent Shortfall and Equipping Healthcare Leaders to Prepare for Tomorrow

The healthcare labor market is in critical condition.

3.2Risk Outlook Score

Risk Factors

2.05

Occupation Risk Score

Five million healthcare workers (out of roughly 20 million) are over age 55, and the younger population to replace them is dwindling. Simultaneously, an aging population is driving higher demand for services, including geriatric care, chronic disease management, and home health. The population of prime-age workers—those who are established in critical occupations and are not nearing retirement age—is decreasing as stressful working conditions and training barriers to specialized practices and career progression are motivating workers to exit healthcare roles in favor of other paths, which can mean leaving the healthcare industry altogether.

2.46

Market Risk Score

Healthcare organizations can expect to be in geographic competition with one another for talent as workers are in high demand. As hospitals, private practices, labs, and other means of patient care delivery are unable to move locations, it is important to understand demographic composition and migration patterns. In virtually all markets where the healthcare organizations in this study operate, there are more exits happening than entrances, both in terms of a significant decrease in younger workers approaching prime-working age and not enough foreign-born workers moving into these markets, and prime-age workers moving elsewhere.

5.00

Industry Risk Score

Healthcare largely requires in-person interaction; as such, offshoring is not an option to fill labor shortages, nor can AI replace practitioners. Bridging talent gaps in critical roles leaves healthcare organizations with only two options: to focus on local workforce development, or to rely on immigration. Over-reliance on immigration is highly risky—geopolitical legislation is unpredictable. For example, 5% of all nurses in the US emigrated from the Philippines; however, this created a nurse shortage in the Philippines, causing the Philippine government to place strict limits on the number of nurses leaving the country.

3.13

AI Skills Gap Score

In healthcare critical roles—those oriented in care delivery—AI and automation skills are severely lagging. Naturally, care requires human interaction and analysis. However, two-thirds of practitioners spend their time on administrative work, which AI and automation have early potential to alleviate capacity to focus on patient care. If organizations are not taking steps to expose frontline employees to these skills and increase the speed of adoption, the window of opportunity to proactively upskill healthcare workers in a cost effective manner begins to close, and organizations may find themselves paying a premium to bridge these skills gaps.

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