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Accommodating the Hospitality Labor Shortfall

How Workforce Shortages Impact Hotel, Venue, and Restaurant Operations

Revenue growth requires happy guests, and happy guests need a stable hospitality workforce.

3.2Risk Outlook Score

Risk Factors

3.53

Occupation Risk Score

Hotels, venues, and restaurants are largely competing for the same core talent: facilities managers, first-line supervisors, cooks and prep workers, bartenders, wait staff, and cleaners. While help can come from many different directions, securing these workers is also vulnerable. More than other sectors, hospitality relies on young and immigrant workers, and the youth workforce especially has the means to not participate in the workforce in favor of focusing on school activities and higher education. Management and supervisor roles rely on the prime-age workforce, which is participating less in hospitality. Organizations will need to engage the younger workforce, offering benefits such as scholarships, mentoring, or career prep, to secure critical roles.

2.40

Market Risk Score

While supply is affected by lack of youth participation, the demand for services from retiring workers increases—Baby Boomers, who are retiring earlier than projected, are taking advantage of their time and money to enjoy travel and dining. Tourist destinations are already seeing declines in prime-age workforce participation. New Orleans saw a prime-age workforce decline of 20%, while Las Vegas, Nev., Orlando, Fla., and San Diego, Calif. all declined by 18%. As workers continue to retire, these projections can be expected to hold steady for the next 10 years. Chain restaurants can expect a similar dynamic, but especially aggressive in less populated areas as workers retire and prime-age working populations dwindle.

4.00

Industry Risk Score

Younger workers, already in short supply, are less attracted to restaurant and hotel maintenance roles due to long hours, unpredictable schedules, lagging wages and benefits, physically demanding tasks, perceptions of career limitations, and commuting. Many workers in hotel and restaurant management and guest services are over the age of 55, leaving critical operational roles vacant while prime-age workers need to catch up on financial and people management skills. Seasonal and geographic fluctuations also make it difficult to maintain a stable, skills-aligned workforce year-round. Roles such as line cooks, bussers, and housekeepers have largely been filled by foreign-born workers. The hospitality industry does not have the luxury of offsetting labor shortages by offshoring, and AI is not feasible for the very roles in the greatest shortage.

3.02

AI Skills Gap Score

Disruptive skills are moderately impacting hospitality in management and operations roles, though organizational leaders need to focus on upskilling their workforce in data analytics and forecasting to optimize resource allocation, booking trends, and revenue and inventory management. Operations-oriented skills, like cybersecurity, sustainability, and digital marketing, also need to be a competitive priority. For the majority of hospitality roles, however, AI and automation are simply not viable. AI cannot tend bar, make beds, or wait tables, all of which are important services to ensure guest satisfaction, and as a result, revenue-driving brand affinity.

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