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Driving a Future-Ready Workforce in the Logistics & Warehousing Industry

How Stalling Labor Supply and Accelerating Demand Urge Leaders to Shift Workforce Planning

The logistics, transportation, and warehousing labor market is gridlocked.

3.0Risk Outlook Score

Risk Factors

2.33

Occupation Risk Score

Truck driving roles are currently among the top 10 occupations filled by workers at or near retirement age. Currently, 1.2 million people are in this range, which threatens to leave critical gaps unfilled. The prime-age workforce is dwindling across planes, trains, and automobiles—according to Lightcast data, air transportation workers, locomotive engineers, and truck drivers each declined by 24%. Additionally, loss of prime-age workers spans well beyond operator roles. Truck mechanics and diesel engine specialists lost 16% of prime-age workers, and rail car repairers lost 13%. With a growing demand in e-commerce, and the resulting demand for warehouse workers, drivers, and logistics coordinators, these workforce dynamics are simply unsustainable unless organizations focus on obtaining and retaining talent.

2.62

Market Risk Score

As logistics and warehouse enterprises operate across the United States and beyond, market selection is a challenge traditionally driven by what is being transported or stored. Companies with lower market supply risk—or supply of prime-age workers—tend to concentrate in regional pockets, such as Texas, allowing access to both rural and urban populations. However, that is simply not an operational reality for the majority of companies—transnational travel requires regional hubs in strategic locations, such as Atlanta, Ga., Chicago, Ill., Dallas-Fort Worth, Tex., Los Angeles, Calif., New York City, N.Y., and Philadelphia, Pa.—all metropolitan areas that are seeing high rates of prime-worker exits, with Los Angeles, New York, and Philadelphia among the most severe in the study.

4.00

Industry Risk Score

Severe workforce shortages are affecting nearly every segment of this industry, especially in trucking, warehousing, and logistics coordination roles. A significant share of workers in this industry are approaching retirement or have already retired. Most employment gains are from foreign-born workers, who comprise 20% of transportation and utilities roles; however, an over-reliance on the immigrant population presents risks as geopolitical dynamics become less predictable. Complexities in training, compensation, and safety are deterring younger workers from engaging with this industry. Simultaneously, AI and automation technologies are not yet viable to fill workforce shortages, and with rubber to the road, companies do not have the option of offshoring operations.

2.54

AI Skills Gap Score

While the logistics and warehousing industry can’t be qualified as fully AI capable, there are indicators that it is becoming increasingly explored and adopted in operations. In critical roles, such as transportation, storage, and distribution managers, AI skills are growing quickly, and in sales representative roles, AI skills are established. While industrial truck and tractor operators and maintenance and repair workers are certainly lagging in AI skills exposure, they still have some exposure, which is important as automation technologies continue to rapidly evolve and the business case for their applications in these roles strengthens.

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